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2024-12-13 05:33:41

Today, the market finally shrank slightly by 0.05% to 3,402.53 points, holding the integer mark of 3,400 points. Near noon, there was a wave of rapid diving in the market, but it did not fall below the offensive line of the daily level, and the index remained above the offensive line. We have also reminded you of the key points before, so the short-term rebound trend of the daily level remained intact and did not change substantially. Therefore, if you can't see the trend clearly and can't grasp the key points, it is easy to get lost and step on the wrong rhythm. So how will the market go tomorrow? How should we deal with it? Let's make a concrete analysis for your reference.The above is the analysis of the current market situation. There is no problem with the short-term trend. The only problem is the quantity and energy. However, after the market closed, there was such a big positive, and the A50 index made a breakthrough all the way. Therefore, without any accident, the heavyweights and large-cap stocks will lead the market to break through tomorrow. The problem of closing the Zhongyang line is not very big. If the short-term trend has not gone bad, we can remain objective and be more optimistic at present. There is no problem with the long-term trend of the market, so we should continue to be patient and optimistic.Tuesday will usher in a greater level of rise!


At present, the area where CSI 2,000 is located has basically reached the position of large-scale platform in the early stage. If the heavyweights don't exert their strength, there is basically not much room for small-cap stocks. You must be more careful when you reach the position of platform in the early stage. It is impossible to say that small-cap stocks directly broke out of the main rising wave market without a breakthrough in the broader market, which is obviously unrealistic. It depends on whether the heavyweights and large-cap stocks can continue to exert their strength, which is one of the key points of continuous attention in the future.Today, the market index is above the offensive line, and the short-term trend is intact. Therefore, if the trend does not go bad, don't blindly and subjectively guess and stay calm. The intraday low just fell back to around 3385, which is the 60-minute short-term trend line and the recent support level. It stopped falling and stabilized here, followed by a shock recovery. Although the performance of today's market is not very good, there is nothing much wrong with the current trend, so even if there are some invalid fluctuations in the market, it will not interfere with you.In terms of volume and energy, the city's turnover reached 1.66 trillion today, down 160 billion from last Friday. The biggest problem today is that the volume has shrunk. As we have told you before, it is obviously useless to increase the volume for one day, and a new wave of sustained rebound can only be started if the volume can shrink today. Therefore, the overall performance of the market is not good, and there is nothing surprising to follow up. The indexes of major components are not very good today, and most of them are down. Micro-cap stocks continue to perform strongly, rising by 0.7%, while the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 rose by 0.08%. These two indexes outperformed the broader market, while the rest were underperforming the broader market. CSI 2,000 and CSI 300 fell a little, slightly underperforming the broader market, but outperforming the average share price. Venture small-cap stocks, CSI 500, CSI 1,000, Venture Market, Beizheng 50 and Kechuang 50 all underperformed the broader market and underperformed the average share price. Today, Beizheng 50 fell more, down 4.31%. I reminded everyone before the North Certificate 50, and the short-term trend weakened last Friday, so again, don't go against the trend, the risk is very great.


At present, the daily pressure level of the market is around 3410 points. Only when it breaks through and stands above 3411 points can it be considered as a breakthrough in the upper pressure line, and the upside space can be considered as being opened. However, it is obvious that it has not broken through the pressure level today, including I told you last Friday. Although the market has gained well, it has not stood firm, so objectively speaking, the index is still in a state of range fluctuation.On December 9th, a high-level meeting was held. The meeting emphasized that to do a good job in economic work next year, it is necessary to further deepen reform in an all-round way, expand high-level opening to the outside world, build a modern industrial system, better coordinate development and security, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, and stabilize the property market and stock market.After the news was announced, the A50 index soared and rose rapidly after the close, including Hong Kong stocks. The A50 index is moving, which means that the heavyweights are moving. I have emphasized to you several times before that at this stage, the heavyweights and large-cap stocks must make a difference, otherwise the short-term trend will be more difficult. At the critical moment, it is still coming. This is definitely a very positive signal. Continue to inject a shot in the arm into the market and everyone's confidence will be further improved.

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